About StockOraclet
- 預測,是研究和預估未來會發生的事情和結果。預測類似語言、預知、占卜,前者可能是可供檢查的科學方法,而後者則常常無法證明真僞。
預測的價值在於所預測的事物與之後所發生的結果是否吻合。網絡上有非常多的預測服務,但是卻很少可以看到有後續驗證的服務。本研究目的就是針對網絡上預測文件進行自動追溯,以客觀以及統計資料核實其預測結果的正確性。
“任何人都沒辦法預測股票與債券價格在未來數天或數周內的走勢。然而,預測這些價格的長期趨勢,例如三到五年,是相當有可能的。”-2013諾貝爾經濟學獎新聞稿。
在世界上,有着非常多所謂的專家,經常在網絡上預測股票的趨勢,但是是否可以準確的預測到結果,這個問題所存在的疑問非常大。每個人都想預測資產價格的短期方向,因爲這代表着時時刻刻都有賺錢的機會。但短期的資產價格走勢爲“隨機漫步”(Random Walk),這幾乎是所有經濟學家和財經學家的共識。
所以我們要如何驗證網絡上所謂的專家所預測的東西是否正確?如何判別他們的可信度?股票驗證平台便提供了這一項服務。 - Forecasting, research and estimate what will happen in the future and results. Prediction similar language, predict, divination, the former may be available to the scientific method to check, while the latter are often unable to prove authenticity.
Predictive value lies after the results predicted things and what happened is consistent. There are a lot of prediction service on the network, but few can see the follow-up validation service. Purpose of this study is to predict the file on the network for automatic traceability, based on objective and statistical information to verify the accuracy of its predictions.
"Anyone who can not even predict the stock and bond prices in the next few days or weeks the trend, however, predict long-term trends in these prices, for example, three to five years, is quite possible.." --2013 Nobel Award press release.
In the world, there are many so-called experts often predict stock trends on the web, but if you can accurately predict the outcome of this issue in doubt the existence of very large. Everyone wants to predict the short-term direction of asset prices, because it represents the opportunity to always have money. But short-term asset price movements as "random walk" (Random Walk), which is almost a consensus of all the economists and financial experts.
So we have to verify how the network of so-called experts predict things correctly? How to determine their credibility? Stock verification platform that will provide a service.